Forecast: Whole Fresh Cow Milk Production in Vietnam

Vietnam's whole fresh cow milk production has shown significant growth from 2013 to 2023, rising from 456.39 thousand metric tons to 1178.9 thousand metric tons. This represents more than a doubling of production over the past decade. Notably, the year-on-year growth peaked in 2015 at 31.59% but has since experienced moderation, falling to 4.17% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) also declined progressively; from 18.72% in 2015 to 4.72% in 2023. The forecast from 2024–2028 indicates continued growth but at a slower pace, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 2.98% and a total growth rate of 15.83% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential impacts of economic conditions on milk consumption patterns.
  • Technological advancements in dairy farming and production efficiencies.
  • Government policies aimed at supporting or regulating the dairy sector.
  • Increasing consumer preference for organic or locally-sourced milk products.

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