Forecast: Foreign Tourists Arrivals at Tourist Accommodations in the Netherlands

Foreign tourist arrivals at tourist accommodations in the Netherlands exhibited steady growth from 2013 to 2019, with an impressive climb from 12.783 million to 20.129 million. However, the tourism sector faced a dramatic downturn in 2020 and 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with arrivals plunging to 7.265 million and 6.248 million respectively. A strong recovery was observed in 2022, as arrivals surged to 16.063 million. In 2023, the arrivals slightly increased to 16.067 million, indicating stabilization.

The year-on-year variation in 2023 was modest at 0.024%, reflecting a stabilization phase post-recovery. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) for the last 5 years (2019-2023) showed a downward trend at -3.07%, primarily impacted by the pandemic-related declines. Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a gradual rise in tourist arrivals, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 1.27%, signaling a slow yet positive recovery trend for the tourism sector.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Innovation in sustainable tourism to attract environmentally conscious travelers.
• The role of digital nomads and remote work in boosting long-term stays.
• Marketing strategies targeting post-pandemic travel behavior shifts.