As of 2023, the incidence of Tuberculosis (including HIV-positive cases) was measured at 110 cases per hundred persons. The forecast for 2024 predicts a continued decline to 100 cases, followed by a sequential reduction each year, reaching 60 cases by 2028. This illustrates a clear downward trend with a year-on-year decrease of approximately 10%, indicating effective public health interventions. The five-year CAGR suggests an average annual decline of around 10% in incidence rates, reflecting both improved healthcare access and preventive measures.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of new tuberculosis vaccines, improvements in diagnostic methods, and the integration of AI in monitoring and managing tuberculosis cases, which could further reduce incidence rates. Additionally, the potential influence of socioeconomic factors and public health policies on both TB and HIV co-infection rates will be crucial in shaping future trends.
