The demand for mutton and goat meat in Kenya has been experiencing a declining trend. In 2014, the demand stood at 92.0 thousand metric tons, while by 2023, it had decreased to 63.0 thousand metric tons, marking a significant negative change over the years. The year-on-year variation in 2023 was -3.08%, while the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years signified a -2.36% decline. Projections indicate that the trend will continue, with a forecasted demand of 55.0 thousand metric tons by 2028, representing an average annual decrease (CAGR) of -2.21% and an overall decline of -10.57% over the next five years.
Future trends to watch for include potential economic improvements leading to higher disposable incomes, advancements in production efficiency and sustainability practices, and possible shifts in consumer preferences toward alternative sources of protein or changing dietary habits influenced by health trends and food security concerns. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in understanding and anticipating the demand for mutton and goat meat in Kenya.
