The number of prevalent tuberculosis cases in the UK is forecasted to gradually decline from 9.34 thousand in 2024 to 9.15 thousand in 2028. This represents a subtle downward trend, reflecting an average year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.5%. In 2023, there were around 9.39 thousand reported cases, highlighting the continuation of this declining pattern over recent years. The CAGR over the next five years is projected to be modestly negative, emphasizing ongoing improvements in controlling tuberculosis prevalence.
Future trends to watch include advancements in healthcare interventions and public health strategies that could expedite reductions in tuberculosis cases. Monitoring socioeconomic factors and potential changes in tuberculosis strains could also impact these trends.
