In 2024, Germany's domestic extraction of tar sands and oil shale is forecasted at 0.005 metric tons per capita, with a year-on-year increase to 0.006 metric tons per capita from 2025 to 2028. This suggests a stabilization phase intended for performance enhancement, efficiency, and technological advancements. Current trajectories are pointing towards a consistent but slow growth rate, indicating the potential for steady, albeit modest, capacity building for these resources.

Future trends to watch include:

Technological innovations improving efficiency and reducing extraction costs.
Environmental regulations shaping the scalability of extraction operations.
Market demands for alternative energy sources influencing investment in tar sands and oil shale.