The production of grapes in France is projected to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. The forecast for 2024 stands at 32.1 thousand metric tons, which is expected to decrease each year, reaching 26.2 thousand metric tons by 2028. This represents a significant downward trend in grape production. Calculating the year-on-year variation, we see the following percentage decreases: 5% from 2024 to 2025, 4.6% from 2025 to 2026, 5.2% from 2026 to 2027, and 5.1% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual decline of approximately 5%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on agriculture, shifts in consumer demand for wine and grapes, and advancements in agricultural technology that could mitigate production declines. Additionally, policy changes and economic factors, such as subsidies or trade agreements, could also influence future production levels.