Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Human-Computer Interaction in the US

In 2023, the share of US scientific publications among the world's top 10% cited in Human-Computer Interaction stood at a precise though unspecified value based on historical data. Forecasts for 2024 through 2028 indicate a subtle upward trend, appreciating marginally from 18.79% to 18.83%. Year-on-year percentage increases are minimal, highlighting a period of relative stability with mild growth. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years reflects steady progress.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential shifts in global research priorities influencing citation dynamics.
  • The impact of technological advancements on publication influence.
  • Collaboration trends between academia and industry and their effect on research impact.

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