In 2023, Canada's methane emissions without land use, land-use change, and forestry stood at 84.88 trillion grams of CO2 equivalent. From 2024 onwards, a steady year-on-year decrease is forecasted, with emissions projected to fall to 71.1 trillion grams by 2028. This represents an average year-on-year decline of approximately 3.5% over the five-year period, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around -3.7%.
Future areas to watch include technological advancements in methane capture and regulation changes potentially accelerating reductions. Economic shifts or energy policy reforms can also impact this trend, necessitating continuous monitoring.