Forecast: Methane Emissions Without Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry in Canada

In 2023, Canada's methane emissions without land use, land-use change, and forestry stood at 84.88 trillion grams of CO2 equivalent. From 2024 onwards, a steady year-on-year decrease is forecasted, with emissions projected to fall to 71.1 trillion grams by 2028. This represents an average year-on-year decline of approximately 3.5% over the five-year period, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around -3.7%.

Future areas to watch include technological advancements in methane capture and regulation changes potentially accelerating reductions. Economic shifts or energy policy reforms can also impact this trend, necessitating continuous monitoring.

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