In 2023, Canada's under-5 mortality rate stood at 4.8 deaths per thousand live births. Forecast data suggests a consistent decline in the under-5 mortality rate from 2024 to 2028, moving from 4.7 to 4.4 deaths per thousand. Year-on-year variation shows a slight annual reduction of about 2%-2.2% during this period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period reflects an approximate annual decrease of 1.74%.

Future trends to watch for:

Advancements in healthcare technology and neonatal care may further reduce mortality rates.
Public health initiatives focused on preventive care and maternal health improvements could enhance downward trends.
Monitoring impacts of socio-economic changes and policies on healthcare access is crucial.