The mortality rate of children under 5 in China's rural areas is forecasted to decrease significantly from 2024 to 2028, reaching 4.22 per 1,000 live births in 2028. In 2023, the mortality rate stood at 7.1. This consistent decline suggests a healthy annual improvement, resulting in a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately -10% over the five-year period. Over the past two years, the year-on-year percentage decrease has averaged around -9%.
Future trends to watch for include assessing the continued impact of healthcare improvements and technological advancements in rural areas. Monitoring policy changes and their implementation at local levels will also be crucial to sustaining this positive trend.
