The forecasted decline in China's child mortality rate, for ages 5-14, from 1.72 per thousand in 2024 to 1.3 in 2028 demonstrates a continuing downward trend. Compared to the actual data from 2023, this illustrates a positive year-on-year decline of 9.3% from 2024 to 2025, 6.2% from 2025 to 2026, and subsequent decreases of 7.3% and 7.1% over the next two years. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests an average annual reduction of about 7.0% in child mortality.
Future trends to watch for include the government's continued investment in healthcare infrastructure, improvements in health education, and efforts to enhance early childhood nutrition and care. Additionally, monitoring emerging health issues and pandemics will be essential to maintain or accelerate this downward trajectory.
