In 2023, the production of whole fresh goat milk in Japan stood at 1.52 thousand metric tons. The forecasts for the following years indicate a gradual decline in production. In 2024, the production is anticipated to be 1.51 thousand metric tons, followed by 1.50 in 2025, 1.48 in 2026, 1.46 in 2027, and 1.45 in 2028. Year-on-year, this represents a decrease of approximately 0.66% for 2025, 1.33% for 2026, 1.35% for 2027, and 0.68% for 2028. Assessing over a longer period, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 is approximately -0.92%.
Future trends to watch for include the influence of dietary preferences on goat milk consumption, advancements in agricultural technology that may affect yields, and potential shifts in domestic and global market demands. Additionally, environmental factors like climate change could impact production rates.
