Kenya's citrus production in 2023 stood at 184.98 thousand metric tons. Over the past decade, citrus production has seen significant fluctuations. From 2013 to 2015, production peaked, before experiencing a consistent decline. Between 2016 and 2023, production saw a mixed trend with periodic increases, but overall declining, particularly evident with a CAGR of -0.59% over the last 5 years. For the last two years, production has slightly decreased with a year-on-year variation of -0.76% in 2022 and -0.75% in 2023.
Looking ahead, the forecast predicts a continued marginal decline in citrus production, with an average annual decrease (CAGR) of -0.63% over the next five years, culminating in a total drop of 3.12% by 2028. The industry should watch for:
- Climate change effects and weather patterns influencing crop yields.
- Shifts in agricultural practices and potential adoption of improved farming techniques.
- Market demand fluctuations both domestically and internationally for citrus products.
- Government policies and initiatives supporting or constraining citrus farming.
