The garlic yield in Egypt has seen a consistent decline from 2013 to 2023. In 2013, the garlic yield was 251.68 thousand hectograms per hectare, and it has gradually decreased to 194.16 thousand hectograms per hectare by 2023. Over the past two years, the year-on-year variations were -1.44% in 2022 and -1.43% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at -1.09%, indicating a downward trend in yield.
Over the next five years, further decline is forecasted with a projected CAGR of -1.24%, leading to a yield of 179.48 thousand hectograms per hectare by 2028. This represents a total growth rate decrease of -6.07% from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include improvements in agricultural practices, potential impacts of climate change, and advancements in garlic farming technologies, which could help mitigate the decline in yield or possibly reverse the trend. Additionally, monitoring the impact of market demand and pricing can offer insights into the economic viability and sustainability of garlic farming in Egypt.
