Forecast: Tourism Gross Value Added in Indonesia

Indonesia's Tourism Gross Value Added experienced notable fluctuations from 2016 to 2023. In 2023, the value stood at 5.35. The sector saw steady growth from 2016 through 2019, followed by a significant decline in 2020, attributed to the pandemic, dropping by 55.86%. The subsequent recovery years show a strong rebound with a 67.75% increase in 2021, 26.24% in 2022, and 15.21% in 2023. The 5-year CAGR moved up drastically to 34.62%, reflecting this recovery trajectory. Forecasts from 2024 onward project a continued growth averaging 1.7% per year and an overall 8.81% rise by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Post-pandemic recovery stability
  • Impact of new tourism policies
  • Economic factors influencing travel and tourism expenditure
  • Technological advancements in tourism services
  • Environmental and sustainability initiatives

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