Forecast: Import of Refined Olive Oil and Fractions to Indonesia

The import of refined olive oil and fractions to Indonesia has experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade. Starting at 1.1087 million USD in 2013, the import value saw a mixed trend with notable growth periods, such as a substantial increase in 2018 (182.14% year-on-year) and a significant drop in 2019 (-13.1%). As of 2023, the import value stood at 4.1613 million USD, marking a remarkable journey from its earlier years.

Recent years show a steady increase, reflected in the moderate year-on-year growth of 5.37% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 averaged 1.92%, indicating overall growth despite some volatility. Looking at forecasted data, the import value is expected to continue to rise steadily, reaching 5.2684 million USD by 2028, with a forecasted CAGR of 3.7% over the next five years.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential impacts of global supply chain disruptions on import prices.
  • Shifts in consumer preferences towards healthier, potentially premium-priced olive oils.
  • Government policies or trade agreements affecting import tariffs and regulations.
  • The overall economic climate in Indonesia influencing purchasing power and demand.

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