Forecast: Re-Import of Fresh or Chilled Garlic to Canada

The re-import of fresh or chilled garlic to Canada shows a consistent downward trend from 2024 to 2028, with forecasted values decreasing annually. The year-on-year percentage decreases are expected to be roughly 2.9% in 2025 and 2026, 2.9% in 2026 and 2027, and approximately 2.8% in 2027 and 2028. In 2023, actual imports stood slightly higher, indicating a starting point for this decline. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period highlights a steady reduction in volume.

Future trends to watch include:

  • Potential impacts of local Canadian garlic production on import needs.
  • Shifts in consumer demand towards locally sourced produce.
  • The influence of global market conditions and tariff regulations on garlic imports.
  • Advancements in agricultural technology that might improve local yields.

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