In 2023, the number of deaths due to tuberculosis (excluding HIV cases) in the UK was recorded at 210 deaths. The forecasted figures from 2024 to 2028 show a consistent declining trend: 193 deaths in 2024, 180 in 2025, 168 in 2026, 155 in 2027, and 143 in 2028. This indicates a progressive annual reduction in tuberculosis mortality.
Year-on-year percentage changes highlight the following trend:
- 2024: -8.1%
- 2025: -6.7%
- 2026: -6.7%
- 2027: -7.7%
- 2028: -7.7%
Over the next five years, this equates to a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -7.0%.
In terms of future trends, increased public health interventions, improved access to medical care, and ongoing research into tuberculosis treatments are critical factors to monitor. These efforts will likely contribute further to the decline in tuberculosis-related deaths in the UK.
