The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications within the tourism, leisure, and hospitality management sectors in Japan is projected to decrease steadily from 84.43% in 2024 to 82.66% by 2028. This forecast suggests a gradual decline in authorship dominance over these years. Given that there is no data provided for 2023, this analysis begins with the forecasted values of 2024 and onward.
While specific year-on-year percentage changes are not provided, the overall trend indicates a decreasing pattern over the forecast period. Observing the average annual decline over these five years can offer further insights into this shift.
Future trends to watch include potential changes in international collaboration, innovative research methodologies, and evolving academic recognition patterns that may influence the share of corresponding/leading authors. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for effective anticipation of further trends in authorship dynamics.
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