The import of fresh or chilled lobsters to France is forecasted to decline steadily from 2.591 million kilograms in 2024 to 2.284 million kilograms by 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year decrease of approximately 3% during this period. The data from 2023 showed a lower import volume compared to 2024, suggesting a short-term increase before the anticipated prolonged downturn. Over a five-year horizon, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates a decrease, reflecting a sustained drop in import volume.
Future trends to watch include potential influences of trade policies, shifts in French consumer preferences towards sustainable seafood, and the impact of global lobster supply chain dynamics, which could alter these forecasted trends. Additionally, environmental concerns and ecological regulations may further complicate the forecasted outcomes.