In 2023, the number of deaths due to tuberculosis (excluding HIV cases) in Japan stood at 3.13 thousand. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady decline, with numbers decreasing from 3.06 thousand in 2024 to 2.79 thousand in 2028. This represents an average year-on-year decline of approximately 2.0%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about -2.2% over this period, indicating a positive trend towards reducing TB-related mortality.
Future trends to watch include continued advancements in medical treatment and public health measures, along with any potential socio-economic changes that might impact TB incidence and mortality rates. Monitoring innovation in vaccines and healthcare access will be crucial for sustained progress.