Banana production in Kenya has seen variable trends over the past decade. In 2013, production stood at 1.3745 million metric tons. By 2023, output had risen to 1.7493 million metric tons, showing an overall growth. The production witnessed fluctuations, with notable dips in 2015 and 2016, but rebounded strongly, particularly in 2019 and 2021. The year-on-year variation over the last two years reflects a modest growth of around 1.71%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the previous five years (2018-2023) stood at 4.34%, indicating steady growth. Forecasts for coming years suggest a slower average annual growth of 1.33%, reaching 1.9028 million metric tons by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Impact of climate change on banana yields
- Adoption of advanced agricultural practices
- Market demand fluctuations both locally and internationally
- Government policies and support for the agricultural sector
- Technological advancements in crop management
