Forecast: National Railway Freight Traffic of Mineral Building Materials in China

The national railway freight traffic of mineral building materials in China exhibited significant fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2018, there was a notable decline, dropping from 13.55 to 7.93, reflecting a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of -10.16%. This downward trend reversed sharply in 2019 with a substantial year-on-year increase of 51.63%, rising to 12.02. From 2020 to 2023, the traffic showed a modest recovery stability with a slight increase from 12.54 to 10.7, highlighting a CAGR of 6.18% over this period. For 2023, the traffic stood at 10.7. From 2024 onwards, forecasts indicate a steady growth trajectory, reaching 11.12 by 2028, translating to a forecasted CAGR of 0.61%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Continuous growth in infrastructure projects which may boost freight traffic volumes.
  • Implementation of policies promoting greener transportation methods.
  • Technological advancements in railway logistics improving efficiency and capacity.