Forecast: Railway Passenger Traffic in Germany

In 2023, railway passenger traffic in Germany stood at 102.38 billion passenger kilometers. Over the past decade, the sector experienced fluctuations, with significant growth until 2019, a steep decline in 2020 due to external factors, and a rapid recovery in subsequent years. The average annual growth (CAGR) over the last five years was 0.85%, indicating moderate growth. The year-on-year variation in 2022 and 2023 were 6.26% and 0.92% respectively, reflecting a shift towards stability and modest growth.

Looking ahead, the forecast indicates a continued steady increase in railway passenger traffic, with a five-year CAGR of 0.75% from 2024 to 2028, translating to a 3.79% growth over the forecast period. Future trends to watch for include the impact of technological advancements in railway services, shifts in travel behavior post-pandemic, and governmental policies promoting sustainable transportation.