Forecast: International Tourist Arrivals in South Africa

The international tourist arrivals in South Africa have been consistently increasing over the forecast period from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the number of international tourist arrivals stood at 15.143 million. The estimated values for the upcoming years are as follows: 15.217 million in 2024, 15.292 million in 2025, 15.366 million in 2026, 15.44 million in 2027, and 15.512 million in 2028.

Year-on-year variations show a steady increase in international arrivals:

- From 2024 to 2025: +0.49%- From 2025 to 2026: +0.48%- From 2026 to 2027: +0.48%- From 2027 to 2028: +0.47%

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period (2024-2028) is 0.48%, indicating moderate but steady growth in international tourist arrivals.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of geopolitical factors, changes in global economic conditions, and emerging tourism markets. Additionally, advancements in technology and digital marketing might play a significant role in attracting international tourists. Maintaining sustainable tourism practices could also influence growth positively. Monitoring these trends will be crucial for strategic planning in the tourism sector.