The forecast for incident tuberculosis cases in the UK, including HIV-positive cases, shows a notable decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the value was documented at 151 cases. From this point, there’s a year-on-year decrease of approximately 8.2% in 2024, 8.2% in 2025, 8.1% in 2026, and 8.8% in 2027. The five-year CAGR is approximately -8.3%, highlighting a consistent reduction in new cases.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in medical treatments, enhanced public health strategies, and continuing efforts to address socioeconomic factors that influence tuberculosis transmission and infection rates.
