Forecast: Green Coffee Production in Kenya

Kenya's green coffee production has seen significant fluctuations over the past decade. In 2023, production stood at 41.15 thousand metric tons. While periods of growth, such as in 2014 and 2016, indicate resilience, consistent declines have marked recent years. Notably, a 1.15% year-on-year decline in 2023 aligns with a negative five-year CAGR of -0.11%. Forecast data suggest a continued downward trend, with a five-year CAGR of -0.99% and a 4.86% total decrease expected by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Climate change impacts
• Shifts in global coffee demand
• Technological advancements in agriculture
• Government policies supporting coffee production
• Market diversification strategies