In 2023, mortality due to air pollution in China was estimated at 1.04 units per billion persons. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 exhibit a gradual increase in mortality rates, starting at 1.05 in 2024 and reaching 1.10 by 2028. The year-on-year variations demonstrate a consistent rise, with average increments slightly above 1%. Over these five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) underscores a modest yet persistent upward trend in pollution-related mortality.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of stricter environmental regulations in China, advancements in clean energy technology, and changes in industrial activities that might influence these forecasts. Close monitoring of policy shifts and technological interventions will be essential in evaluating and potentially mitigating these mortality projections.
