In 2024, the UK's carbon dioxide emissions (without land use, land-use change and forestry) are projected to be 321.52 million metric tons. This marks a continued decline from 349 million metric tons in 2023. Forecasted values indicate a steady decrease, reaching 266.35 million metric tons by 2028. The year-on-year percentage decrease from 2024 to 2025 is 4.4%, from 2025 to 2026 is 4.5%, and from 2026 to 2027 is 4.7%. Overall, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over 2024 to 2028 is approximately -4.6%, reflecting a sustained effort in reducing emissions.
Due to advancing renewable energy sources and stricter emission regulations, future trends to monitor include the adoption rate of these technologies and policies, the impact of emerging carbon capture and storage systems, and societal shifts towards lower-consumption lifestyles. Understanding these factors will be crucial in predicting long-term emission outcomes.
