The incidence of tuberculosis, including HIV-positive cases in Italy, forecasts a reduction from 2024 with 240 cases per 100,000 persons, decreasing to 220 by 2028. From 2023 to 2024, the forecast suggests a decline in case numbers. Year-on-year, 2025 maintains a similar count to 2026 and 2027 at 230 cases per 100,000, reflecting stabilization. A further decrease is seen in 2028 to 220, highlighting gradual improvement. The expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period indicates a downward trend in tuberculosis cases.
Future trends to watch include the impact of public health initiatives on reducing TB transmission and the effect of HIV treatment advancements. Monitoring the strains of antibiotic-resistant TB and increased global mobility's influence on case numbers will also be crucial. Additionally, the integration of technology in diagnostics and treatment could play a significant role in controlling future incidence rates.
