The demand for oranges and mandarins in the United Kingdom is forecasted to decline steadily from 917 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 712 thousand metric tons in 2028. The year-on-year percentage decrease is consistent as shown in the projections, highlighting a declining trend. Compared to 2023's actual figures, which were slightly higher, this sustained contraction over the next few years is notable. The average annual decrease over this five-year period, or CAGR, further underscores the shrinking demand.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Shifts in consumer preference towards alternative fruits or processed forms due to health, convenience, or dietary trends.
- Economic factors such as inflation or trade agreements that could affect import costs and consumer prices.
- Impact of climate change on domestic and international citrus production and availability.