The forecast for domestic pear consumption in the US shows a consistent decline from 2024 through 2028. Starting at 522.76 thousand metric tons in 2024, consumption is projected to decrease by approximately 2.34% annually, culminating in a projected 474.52 thousand metric tons by 2028. This indicates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of roughly -2.44% over the five-year period starting in 2024. Compared to the previous years leading up to 2023, this downward trend suggests a diminishing demand or possible shifts in consumer preference away from pears.
Future trends to watch for include changes in consumer health trends, pear industry innovations, and potential impacts from climate change affecting pear production. Monitoring these factors might provide insights into whether the decline will continue beyond 2028 or if there could be initiatives that stabilize or reverse this trend.
