The forecasted data for total daily smokers in the UK, as a percentage of persons aged 15 and older, shows a declining trend from 13.7% in 2024 to 12.1% in 2028. Analyzing year-on-year variations indicates a steady decrease of around 0.4 percentage points annually. The value stood at 14.1% in 2023, highlighting a consistent reduction in smoking prevalence. Over the last two years, the total decline is projected at approximately 1%, while the five-year compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests an average annual decrease of 3.7%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of public health initiatives, regulatory changes, and the increasing popularity of smoking cessation aids and alternatives like vaping. These factors may continue to drive down the number of daily smokers further, potentially accelerating the observed declining trend.
