In 2023, tobacco consumption in Japan stood at 808 Grams Per Capita Aged 15+. The forecasted data for 2024 indicate a consumption value of 751 grams, marking a reduction. The trend continues with projected values of 672 grams in 2025, 603 grams in 2026, 542 grams in 2027, and 488 grams in 2028.
Year-on-year variation analysis reveals:
- 2024: -7.1%
- 2025: -10.5%
- 2026: -10.3%
- 2027: -10.1%
- 2028: -10.0%
The average annual decrease over the next five years (CAGR) is anticipated to be around -9.7%
Future trends to watch for include the impact of regulatory changes, anti-smoking campaigns, and the growth of alternative nicotine products, which could further accelerate the decline in traditional tobacco consumption. Social shifts and health awareness are also crucial factors likely affecting future consumption patterns.