Since we are in 2024, the smoking prevalence among persons aged 15+ in Norway is forecasted to remain at 6%. The previous years' actual data is not provided, but it can be inferred that there was a slight decrease leading up to 2023.
From 2024 to 2028, the smoking prevalence exhibits a downward trend. In 2025, the value remains constant at 6%, followed by a decrease to 5% in 2026. This decline continues as the prevalence drops to 4% in both 2027 and 2028.
Year-on-year variation in percentages indicates a steady reduction in smoking prevalence. Specifically, there is a 16.67% decrease from 2025 to 2026 and a 20% decrease from 2026 to 2027, followed by stabilization from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years is projected to indicate an average annual decline.
Trends to watch include potential impacts of stricter tobacco regulations and public health campaigns aimed at reducing smoking rates further. Additionally, monitoring the rise of alternative nicotine products such as e-cigarettes could provide insight into shifts in tobacco consumption patterns.
