Duck meat production in Southern Africa showed a steady year-on-year increase from 2013 to 2019. However, there was an uncharacteristic decline of 4.19% in 2020, likely due to the pandemic's disruptions. Production rebounded in 2021 with a significant 6.06% rise and continued to grow modestly through 2023 to stand at 1.21 thousand metric tons. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years shows an average increase of 0.71% annually.
Looking forward, the forecasted five-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is estimated at 0.56%. The projected growth rate over this period cumulatively amounts to 2.82%. Future trends to monitor include the impacts of climate change on agriculture, regional economic development, and potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative protein sources or other poultry products.