Analyzing the forecast for milk and cream imports to the UK, with a fat content exceeding 6% but not exceeding 21% in packaging of up to 2 liters, reveals a consistent decrease from 2024 onwards. It starts at 1.6854 million kilograms in 2024, declining annually by approximately 8.3% to reach 1.1408 million kilograms by 2028. This represents a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of -9.5% over five years. The actual data from 2023 was slightly higher, indicating a stronger contraction in imports.
Future trends to monitor include shifts in consumer preferences towards plant-based alternatives, potential regulatory changes affecting dairy imports, and economic factors influencing the UK's import strategy for dairy products within the broader context of trade agreements and Brexit impacts.