The production of whole fresh cow milk in Egypt has shown notable fluctuations over the past decade. It peaked in 2013 at 2.9081 million metric tons but experienced a general downward trend thereafter. By 2023, production stood at 2.5268 million metric tons, reflecting an overall decline. The year-on-year variations have shown inconsistency, with some years exhibiting positive growth (e.g., 2017 and 2021) while others witnessed significant reductions (e.g., 2014 and 2019). Recent years have seen minor declines with a year-on-year reduction of approximately 0.44% in 2022 and 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the past five years stands at around -2.59%, indicating a cumulative decrease in production over this period.
Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 project a continuous but mild decline in cow milk production, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of approximately -0.3%. The total forecasted growth rate over these five years is estimated to be around -1.51%, showing a gradual but steady reduction in production volumes.
Future trends to watch for:
- Economic conditions impacting agricultural investments and dairy farm operations.
- Technological advancements and their adoption in dairy farming, which could enhance productivity.
- Government policies and support for the dairy sector.
- Changing consumer preferences and market demand for whole fresh cow milk.
