Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Infectious Diseases in Germany

In 2023, the share of German corresponding/leading authors in infectious diseases publications stood at 90.14%. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 indicate a minuscule decline from 90.13% to 90.10%. This steady share suggests minimal competitive pressure from non-domestic authors. Despite marginal annual decreases, the total drop in share over the five-year period remains negligible, with a CAGR approaching zero.

Future trends to watch include:

  • Potential impacts of global collaborations on authorship share.
  • Evolving institutional policies influencing lead authorship distribution.
  • Technological advancements affecting publication dynamics.

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