In 2023, the share of German corresponding/leading authors in infectious diseases publications stood at 90.14%. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 indicate a minuscule decline from 90.13% to 90.10%. This steady share suggests minimal competitive pressure from non-domestic authors. Despite marginal annual decreases, the total drop in share over the five-year period remains negligible, with a CAGR approaching zero.
Future trends to watch include:
- Potential impacts of global collaborations on authorship share.
- Evolving institutional policies influencing lead authorship distribution.
- Technological advancements affecting publication dynamics.