In 2024, the number of AI-related scientific publications in the US is forecasted to be 20,000, following consistent growth from previous years. The data for upcoming years indicate a steady increase, with forecasts showing 25,010 publications by 2028. Year-on-year growth rates show promising expansion in the field. Between 2024 and 2025, there's an expected increase of 6.85%, followed by 6.03% in 2026, 5.34% in 2027, and 4.77% in 2028, reflecting a slight deceleration trend. Overall, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is estimated at 5.71% for the 5-year period from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Continued advancements in AI technologies driving further research and publication output.
- Expansion of interdisciplinary studies incorporating AI, leading to diverse publication topics.
- Potential policy changes affecting research funding or focus, possibly influencing publication trends.
- Increased international collaboration impacting the US publication landscape.