In 2023, China's total carbon dioxide emissions stood at 0.35 kilograms of CO2 per USD PPP, 2010. From 2024 to 2028, emissions are forecasted to decrease at a steady rate, reaching 0.28 kg by 2028. The year-on-year percentage decrease from 2024 to 2025 is projected at 2.94%, while between 2025 and 2026, the drop is 6.06%. The anticipated decrease continues from 2026 to 2027 and from 2027 to 2028 with 3.23% and 6.67% reductions, respectively. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for these years implies an annual decrease of approximately 4.40%.
Future trends to watch include China's potential policy shifts towards renewable energy and its impacts on the pace of emission reductions. Additionally, technological advancements and global economic influences could alter the trajectory of these forecasts. Continued international cooperation and domestic policy adjustments will be crucial in achieving emission targets.