In 2023, Germany’s energy tax revenue related to air pollution stood at 2.54% of total tax revenues. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 show a gradual decline, with a consistent year-on-year reduction. From 2024 to 2025, there is a 2.36% decrease, followed by a 2.02% drop from 2025 to 2026. The downward trend continues with a further decline of 1.65% between 2026 and 2027, and a 1.67% decrease from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an annual average decrease of approximately 1.98%.
Future trends to watch include potential legislative changes aiming at further reductions in air pollution, which might affect the tax structure and influence revenue projections. Additionally, innovations in clean energy technologies and shifts in consumer behavior towards sustainable practices could further impact these forecasts.
