The forecasted data indicates a gradual decline in the share of corresponding/leading authors in AI scientific publications in the US from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 90.15% in 2024 and decreasing slightly each year to 89.86% by 2028, this represents a minimal year-on-year decline. Although the value stood at 90.20 in 2023, the consistent decrease suggests a modest decline trend in author prominence in such publications. The compound annual growth rate reveals a gentle decrease over this period.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Changes in global participation influencing author roles.
- Evolving collaborative practices in AI research.
- The impact of increased diversity and international collaboration on authorship dynamics.