Forecast: Total Daily Smokers in India

The percentage of daily smokers in India for individuals aged 15 and above is forecasted to decrease gradually from 9.5% in 2024 to 9.2% in 2028. This implies a continuous reduction in smoking prevalence. Comparing this with the previous year values, there is no decrease from 2024 to 2025, a minor 1.05% reduction year-on-year from 2025 to 2026, a 1.06% decline from 2026 to 2027, and a 1.08% drop from 2027 to 2028. When taking a broader view, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this five-year period shows a negative average variation, indicating a steady downward trend in smoking rates.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of stricter regulatory measures, increasing awareness about health risks associated with smoking, and the availability of smoking cessation programs. Additionally, it will be important to monitor potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative tobacco products or nicotine delivery systems.

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