The production of fresh garlic in the US showed a notable fluctuation from 2013 to 2023, starting at 386.7 million pounds in 2013 and reaching 450.14 million pounds in 2023. This period was marked by significant growth between 2013 and 2017, but the production levels faced variability post-2018, with a sharp decline in 2019 but moderate recovery over the ensuing years. The year-on-year variations were substantial, with notable increases like 13.29% in 2017 and declines such as -20.02% in 2019. The CAGR from 2019 to 2023 was -2.97%, indicating a declining trend over these years.
Future trends point towards a stable production forecasted up to 2028, with minimal variation and an expected CAGR of 0.05%. This implies that production levels are anticipated to stabilize around 450.8 to 451.07 million pounds. Market analysts should watch for factors such as climate change, shifts in domestic demand, and international trade policies, which may significantly impact garlic production trends in the US.
