The percentage of female daily smokers in Japan aged 15+ is forecasted to decline from 6.9% in 2024 to 6.4% in 2028. Considering the 2023 value stood at 7.0%, we observe a gradual year-on-year decrease over the forecast period. From 2024 to 2025, there is a 1.45% decline. From 2025 to 2026, a smaller decline of 1.47% follows. The decreasing trend accelerates slightly to 2.99% from 2026 to 2027 and continues modestly at 1.54% from 2027 to 2028.
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period from 2024 to 2028 suggests an average annual decline of approximately 1.77%.
Future trends to watch for include public health initiatives and societal shifts towards healthier lifestyles, which may further accelerate the decline in smoking rates. Additionally, the potential impact of alternative smoking solutions like e-cigarettes and tobacco regulations could influence these trends significantly.
