Forecast: Whole Milk Production in the UK

Whole milk production in the UK has shown variability from 2013 to 2023, standing at 1.29 million metric tons in 2023. Over the past two years, production decreased by 2.42% in 2022 and 2.43% in 2023. Analyzing the last five years, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was -2.85%, indicating a gradual decline in production volume.

Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 suggest a continuing downward trend. The production is expected to decrease from 1.25 million metric tons in 2024 to 1.12 million metric tons in 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is -2.21%, resulting in an overall forecasted decline of 10.58% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include potential changes in consumer demand, shifts toward plant-based alternatives, and environmental regulations that could further influence the production levels of whole milk in the UK.

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