The forecast for adults newly infected with HIV in France shows a gradual decline from 4.93 thousand in 2024 to 4.84 thousand in 2028. In 2023, this figure stood at approximately 5 thousand, indicating a gradual decrease in HIV infection rates among adults aged 15 and older. The year-on-year variation shows a consistent decline of around 0.41% to 0.46% annually over the forecast period. The compound annual growth rate over the five years is a decline of approximately 0.45% per year. This downward trend is optimistic, reflecting effective public health interventions and improved awareness and prevention measures.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of new HIV prevention technologies and medications.
Continued investment in education and awareness campaigns.
The influence of healthcare policies and funding on sustaining the downward trajectory.