In 2023, the incidence of Tuberculosis (including HIV-positive cases) in Brazil was 9.0 cases per hundred thousand persons. From 2024 to 2028, the forecasted incidence shows a gradual increase from 9.3 to 10.0 cases per hundred thousand. Year-on-year variations indicate growth: 2025 sees a 2.15% increase, 2026 a 1.05% rise, 2027 a 2.08% increase, and 2028 an increase of 2.04%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five years is approximately 2.14%.
Key future trends to watch include potential impacts of public health interventions, fluctuations in HIV prevalence, and socio-economic factors that may affect TB transmission rates. Monitoring these variables can provide insights into the effectiveness of TB reduction strategies and early response systems.
